League One

League One | Gameweek 31

Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 2
Portsmouth

McNally (6'), Brannagan (82'), Holland (90+6')
Brannagan (64'), Seddon (77'), Kane (80'), Moore (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jacobs (10'), Curtis (51')
Jacobs (24'), Hirst (28'), Hume (45+4'), Curtis (81'), Bazunu (88'), Tunnicliffe (90+2'), Raggett (90+11')
Morrell (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Portsmouth
51.39%	23.87%	24.73%

Both teams to score 55.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.8%

46.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.51%

68.49%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01%

17.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.15%

48.85%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24%

32.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68%

69.31%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 51.39%

Portsmouth 24.73%

Draw 23.87%

Oxford United	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.54% Total : 51.39%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.73%