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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Oxford United |
| 37.73% | 25.41% | 36.86% |
| Both teams to score 56.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% | 47.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.25% | 69.75% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% | 24.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% | 59.28% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% | 25.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% | 59.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 0.99% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 0.94% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.86% |