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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
66.78% | 19.78% | 13.44% |
Both teams to score 48.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.61% | 45.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.27% | 67.73% |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.33% | 12.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.16% | 38.84% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.05% | 44.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.11% | 80.89% |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-0 @ 12.15% 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 6.69% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.68% 5-0 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.02% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.79% Total : 19.78% | 0-1 @ 4.55% 1-2 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.04% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 86 | 58 | 28 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |