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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 66.78% | 19.78% | 13.44% |
| Both teams to score 48.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% | 45.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% | 67.73% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.33% | 12.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.16% | 38.84% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.05% | 44.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.11% | 80.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-0 @ 12.15% 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 6.69% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.68% 5-0 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.02% Total : 66.77% | 1-1 @ 9.41% 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.79% Total : 19.78% | 0-1 @ 4.55% 1-2 @ 3.76% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.04% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.44% |