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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The New York Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Rotherham
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Smith (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boyle (31'), Nlundulu (38'), Sercombe (86'), Thomas (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Rotherham United 3-1 Cheltenham Town

The Millers usually fare well on home turf, and we do not see that changing at the weekend when they come up against a Cheltenham side that are struggling to pick up wins. Rotherham have found the net with ease at home in recent times, and we think that they will be among the goals once again on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
68%18.57%13.42%
Both teams to score 52.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01%39.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65%62.35%
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22%10.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.22%34.77%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43%41.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94%78.05%
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 68%
    Cheltenham Town 13.42%
    Draw 18.57%
Rotherham UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 11.11%
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 7.25%
4-0 @ 4.6%
4-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 3.18%
5-0 @ 2.05%
5-1 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 68%
1-1 @ 8.76%
0-0 @ 4.48%
2-2 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.57%
0-1 @ 3.93%
1-2 @ 3.85%
0-2 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.25%
1-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 13.42%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Cheltenham

Rotherham United
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Cheltenham Town
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Mar 16, 2013 3pm
Nov 17, 2012 3pm
Rotherham
4-2
Cheltenham
Pringle (20'), Frecklington (90'), Nardiello (4', 29')
O'Connor (56'), Odejayi (89')
Lowe (1'), Zebroski (31')
Pack (69'), McGlashan (78')
Dec 30, 2011 3pm
Cheltenham
1-0
Rotherham
Pack (11')
Penn (57')

Harrison (41'), Tonge (47'), Raynes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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