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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 12.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.78%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 12.08% | 20.54% | 67.39% |
| Both teams to score 41.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% | 51.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% | 73.33% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.02% | 50.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.67% | 85.33% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.61% | 14.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.72% | 42.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 4.94% 2-1 @ 3.23% 2-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.24% Total : 12.08% | 1-1 @ 9.58% 0-0 @ 7.33% 2-2 @ 3.13% Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.54% | 0-1 @ 14.22% 0-2 @ 13.78% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 8.91% 1-3 @ 6% 0-4 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-5 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.14% Total : 67.38% |