League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 19, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
MK Dons

Bodin (86')
McNally (43'), Taylor (90+1'), (90+3'), Brannagan (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Plymouth Argyle	46	20	80
8	Oxford United	46	23	76
9	Bolton Wanderers	46	17	73

MK Dons

Last Six:

Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Wycombe
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Rotherham United	46	37	90
3	MK Dons	46	34	89
4	Sheffield Wednesday	46	28	85

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	MK Dons
38.53%	24.96%	36.51%

Both teams to score 57.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.52%

45.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19%

67.8%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.62%

23.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.65%

57.35%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55%

24.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.11%

58.88%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 38.53%

MK Dons 36.51%

Draw 24.96%

Oxford United	Draw	MK Dons
2-1 @ 8.5% 1-0 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.53%	1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96%	1-2 @ 8.24% 0-1 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.51%