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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium MK
Crewe Alexandra

MK Dons
2 - 1
Crewe

Parrott (24'), Coventry (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sambou (90+3')
Mandron (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

With more quality in their ranks and momentum on their side, everything points to an MK Dons win on Tuesday. Manning's men have their sights set on the top two, and they should not be derailed at home to the league's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
69.19%18.6%12.21%
Both teams to score 48.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89%43.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49%65.51%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.66%11.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.98%36.03%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.54%45.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.7%81.3%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 69.18%
    Crewe Alexandra 12.21%
    Draw 18.6%
MK DonsDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-0 @ 12.21%
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 8.87%
3-1 @ 6.99%
4-0 @ 4.83%
4-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.75%
5-0 @ 2.1%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 69.18%
1-1 @ 8.85%
0-0 @ 5.16%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.06%
1-2 @ 3.49%
0-2 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1%
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.21%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crewe

MK Dons
79.5%
Draw
7.7%
Crewe Alexandra
12.8%
39
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Crewe
1-4
MK Dons
Long (52')
Lloyd-Bennett (69')
Eisa (12'), O'Riley (64'), Daniels (82' og.), Watters (90+6')
Twine (58')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
0-2
Crewe
Mandron (15', 20')
Lancashire (77'), Wintle (90+5')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Crewe
2-0
MK Dons
Mandron (13'), Finney (20')
Finney (56')

Gladwin (37'), Houghton (57'), Fraser (65'), Morris (90+4')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
MK Dons
0-1
Crewe

Cargill (42'), Agard (45')
Kirk (32')
Jones (43'), Garratt (81')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe18124239211840
2Wrexham19124328111740
3Birmingham CityBirmingham17123232161639
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield18112528161235
5Stockport CountyStockport1996431191233
6Reading189453025531
7Bolton WanderersBolton179352827130
8Barnsley197662725227
9Lincoln CityLincoln197662423127
10Mansfield TownMansfield177372222024
11Exeter CityExeter187381619-324
12Charlton AthleticCharlton186571819-123
13Blackpool186572631-523
14Stevenage176471316-322
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough186393332121
16Leyton Orient186391920-121
17Northampton TownNorthampton195682126-521
18Bristol Rovers186391726-921
19Wigan AthleticWigan185581516-120
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham175571620-420
21Crawley TownCrawley185491728-1119
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1844101829-1116
23Burton Albion1825111630-1411
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1832131835-1711


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