League One Gameweek 25
MK Dons
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Cheltenham
  • Troy Parrott 26' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 28' goal
  • Troy Parrott 85' goal
  • yellowcard Alfie May 72'
  • goal Will Boyle 89'

MK Dons vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
Rotherham 1 - 2 MK Dons
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
Cheltenham 4 - 0 Doncaster
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Alfie May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result

MK Dons 61.4%
Draw 21.98%
Cheltenham Town 16.63%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.78%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.5%
Under 2.5 48.5%
Over 3.5 29.37%
Under 3.5 70.63%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 84.7%
Under 0.5 15.3%
Over 1.5 55.98%
Under 1.5 44.02%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 57.59%
Under 0.5 42.41%
Over 1.5 21.21%
Under 1.5 78.79%

Score analysis

MK Dons 61.39%
Draw 21.97%
Cheltenham Town 16.63%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 61.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.97%
Cheltenham Town
0-1 @ 5.57%
1-2 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.63%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
MK Dons
  • Kyle Joseph 14' goal
  • Matt Blair 39' yellowcard
  • Chris Hussey 45' yellowcard
  • Lewis Freestone 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Darling 61'
  • goal Hiram Boateng 87'
  • yellowcard Hiram Boateng 87'
League Two Gameweek 24
Cheltenham
Dec 26, 2018 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium (Cheltenham, Gloucestershire)
MK Dons
  • Nigel Atangana 14' goal
  • Tyrone Barnett 44' goal
  • Chris Clements 50' yellowcard
  • Chris Clements 86' goal
  • goal Chuks Aneke 22'
  • yellowcard Chuks Aneke 33'
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Cisse 57'
League Two Gameweek 12
MK Dons
Oct 6, 2018 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
Cheltenham
  • Chuks Aneke 34' goal
  • Rhys Healey 84' goal
  • Robbie Simpson 99' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Maddox 98'
League One
Cheltenham
Jan 31, 2009 3.00pm
3
5
HT : 0 3
FT
MK Dons
  • Lloyd Owusu 37' yellowcard
  • Damian Spencer 68' goal
  • Damian Spencer 75' goal
  • Damian Spencer 81' goal
  • goal Jemal Johnson 17'
  • goal Aaron Wilbraham 44'
  • goal Aaron Wilbraham 45'
  • goal Aaron Wilbraham 59'
  • yellowcard Willy Gueret 68'
  • goal Jemal Johnson 71'
  • yellowcard Jude Stirling 80'
  • yellowcard Jason Puncheon 90'
League One
MK Dons
Oct 25, 2008 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Cheltenham
  • Ali Gerba 9' goal
  • Jude Stirling 25' yellowcard
  • Willy Gueret 30' redcard
  • Sam Baldock 55' goal
  • Ali Gerba 80' goal
  • goal Gavin Caines 26'
  • yellowcard Lloyd Owusu 54'
  • yellowcard Ian Westlake 71'
  • redcard Lloyd Owusu 83'

Form Data

Rotherham 1 - 2 MK Dons
MK Dons 2 - 0 Bolton
Charlton 0 - 2 MK Dons
Sunderland 1 - 2 MK Dons
MK Dons 0 - 0 Ipswich
Fleetwood 1 - 1 MK Dons
Cheltenham 4 - 0 Doncaster
Cheltenham 1 - 2 Crewe
Ipswich 0 - 0 Cheltenham
Wycombe 5 - 5 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 2 - 0 Fleetwood
Cheltenham 2 - 1 Sunderland

Build-up

Match Preview