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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | MK Dons |
| 42.66% | 24.86% | 32.49% |
| Both teams to score 57.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.16% | 45.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.85% | 68.16% |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% | 21.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% | 54.57% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% | 26.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.68% | 62.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% 1-0 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.66% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-1 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.49% |