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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 41.5% | 27.33% | 31.16% |
| Both teams to score 48.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.54% | 56.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.54% | 77.46% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% | 62.08% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% | 33.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% | 69.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.5% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.9% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.16% |