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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 41.28% | 27.61% | 31.1% |
| Both teams to score 48.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.48% | 57.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% | 78.31% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% | 27.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% | 62.88% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% | 33.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.54% | 70.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.28% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.26% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.09% |