Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
