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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 30.5% | 24.88% | 44.62% |
| Both teams to score 56.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.03% | 68.96% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% | 28.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% | 64.52% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.02% | 20.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.26% | 53.74% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.5% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 9.16% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 4.77% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.63% Total : 44.62% |