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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | MK Dons |
| 47.7% | 25.86% | 26.44% |
| Both teams to score 50.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.95% | 53.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.36% | 74.63% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% | 22.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% | 55.67% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% | 35.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.23% | 71.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 9.23% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.18% Total : 47.69% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.09% Total : 26.44% |