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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 28.17% | 25.04% | 46.79% |
| Both teams to score 54.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.38% | 48.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.26% | 70.74% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% | 31.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% | 67.69% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% | 20.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.52% | 53.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 7.57% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 4.39% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.17% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-2 @ 8.03% 1-3 @ 4.88% 0-3 @ 4.2% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.79% |