Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 74.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 3-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.