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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 56.47% | 23.94% | 19.59% |
| Both teams to score 48.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.95% | 52.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.22% | 73.79% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% | 18.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% | 49.33% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.01% | 41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.45% | 77.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% 2-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.26% Total : 56.47% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.68% 1-2 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.08% Total : 19.59% |