Home > Football > League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | -45 | 38 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -26 | 37 |
| 24 | Crewe Alexandra | 46 | -46 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 46 | 21 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 18.5% | 21.93% | 59.56% |
| Both teams to score 52.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.36% | 67.64% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.73% | 38.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.97% | 75.03% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% | 14.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.88% | 43.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 5.45% 2-1 @ 5% 2-0 @ 2.62% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.5% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 5.67% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 10.82% 0-2 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 6.32% 0-4 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 3.02% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.2% 1-5 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.58% Total : 59.55% |