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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 34.22% | 26.62% | 39.15% |
| Both teams to score 51.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% | 74.6% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% | 29.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.62% | 65.37% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% | 26.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% | 61.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.22% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 10.33% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.15% |