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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 65.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 65.97% | 20.78% | 13.25% |
| Both teams to score 44.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% | 49.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% | 71.93% |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.68% | 14.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.85% | 42.15% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.93% | 48.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.72% | 83.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 12.99% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 6.17% 4-0 @ 4.09% 4-1 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.27% Total : 65.95% | 1-1 @ 9.8% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.78% | 0-1 @ 5.04% 1-2 @ 3.59% 0-2 @ 1.85% Other @ 2.77% Total : 13.25% |