League One

League One | Gameweek 32

Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 4
Plymouth

Long (19')
Agyei (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hardie (48', 56', 85'), Ennis (55')
Scarr (13'), Hardie (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
30.91%	25.34%	43.75%

Both teams to score 55.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.48%

48.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.35%

70.65%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.68%

29.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7%

65.3%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.86%

22.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.47%

55.52%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 30.91%

Plymouth Argyle 43.75%

Draw 25.33%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 7.97% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.27% 3-0 @ 2% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.91%	1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.33%	0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2.79% 1-4 @ 1.72% 0-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.75%

How you voted: Crewe vs Plymouth

Crewe Alexandra

38.9%

Draw

16.7%

Plymouth Argyle

44.4%