League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
3 - 2
Oxford Utd

Raggett (42'), Hirst (45+2'), Carter (58')
Carter (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Browne (3'), McNally (81')
Long (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Oxford United
39.99%	25.84%	34.18%

Both teams to score 54.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.29%

49.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.28%

71.72%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49%

24.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.02%

58.98%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2%

27.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61%

63.39%

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 39.99%

Oxford United 34.18%

Draw 25.83%

Portsmouth	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.99%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.18%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Oxford Utd

Portsmouth

30.8%

Draw

26.9%

Oxford United

42.3%