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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 66.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 66.78% | 20.3% | 12.92% |
| Both teams to score 45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% | 48.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.14% | 70.86% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.31% | 13.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.08% | 40.92% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.14% | 47.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.87% | 83.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% 2-0 @ 12.95% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 6.33% 4-0 @ 4.27% 4-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.33% 5-0 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.49% Total : 66.78% | 1-1 @ 9.6% 0-0 @ 6.55% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.3% | 0-1 @ 4.83% 1-2 @ 3.54% 0-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.77% Total : 12.92% |