Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Fleetwood Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | -45 | 38 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -26 | 37 |
| 24 | Crewe Alexandra | 46 | -46 | 29 |
Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Morecambe | 46 | -31 | 42 |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 46 | -34 | 40 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 33.22% | 25.81% | 40.97% |
| Both teams to score 54.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
