Home > Football > League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 28 | 85 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 46 | 26 | 84 |
| 6 | Wycombe Wanderers | 46 | 24 | 83 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Morecambe | 46 | -31 | 42 |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 46 | -34 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 70.72% | 18.14% | 11.14% |
| Both teams to score 46.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% | 43.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.76% | 66.24% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.86% | 11.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.41% | 35.59% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.19% | 47.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.91% | 83.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-0 @ 12.82% 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 9.38% 3-1 @ 6.93% 4-0 @ 5.15% 4-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.59% Total : 70.7% | 1-1 @ 8.63% 0-0 @ 5.33% 2-2 @ 3.49% Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.14% | 0-1 @ 3.93% 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.58% Total : 11.14% |