League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
3 - 2
Shrewsbury

Embleton (4'), Broadhead (13', 90+2')
Clarke (22'), O'Nien (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vela (50'), Flanagan (58')
Bennett (28'), Bowman (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Sunderland and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

Last Six:

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Wycombe
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Sheffield Wednesday	46	28	85
5	Sunderland	46	26	84
6	Wycombe Wanderers	46	24	83

Shrewsbury Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Wigan
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Lincoln City	46	-8	52
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50
19	Morecambe	46	-31	42

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
67.99%	19.41%	12.6%

Both teams to score 46.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.24%

45.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.92%

68.07%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.56%

12.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.65%

38.35%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.49%

46.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.88%

82.11%

Score Analysis

Sunderland 67.97%

Shrewsbury Town 12.6%

Draw 19.41%

Sunderland	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 12.56% 1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 6.69% 4-0 @ 4.55% 4-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.04% Total : 67.97%	1-1 @ 9.23% 0-0 @ 5.78% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.72% Total : 19.41%	0-1 @ 4.43% 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-2 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 0.94% 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.1% Total : 12.6%