Home > Football > League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 46 | -8 | 52 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury Town | 46 | -4 | 50 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 46 | -31 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Shrewsbury Town | 46 | -4 | 50 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 46 | -31 | 42 |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 41.56% | 26.79% | 31.64% |
| Both teams to score 50.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% | 54.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% | 75.65% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.25% | 25.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% | 60.68% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% | 31.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.85% | 68.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.31% Total : 41.56% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.64% |