Home > Football > League One
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Lincoln City | 46 | -8 | 52 |
18 | Shrewsbury Town | 46 | -4 | 50 |
19 | Morecambe | 46 | -31 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Plymouth Argyle | 46 | 20 | 80 |
8 | Oxford United | 46 | 23 | 76 |
9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
23.66% | 24.68% | 51.67% |
Both teams to score 51.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.44% | 50.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.53% | 72.48% |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.93% | 36.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.14% | 72.86% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.45% | 19.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% | 51.47% |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 7.19% 2-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.88% Total : 23.66% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-2 @ 9.39% 1-3 @ 5.21% 0-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 2.13% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.91% Total : 51.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 86 | 58 | 28 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |