League One

League One | Gameweek 45

May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
2 - 3
Oxford Utd

Pennington (16'), Vela (25')
Walker (62')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Lee (3'), Henry (68'), Agyei (85')
Agyei (90+6')

Coverage of the League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Oxford United
28.12%	26.62%	45.25%

Both teams to score 49.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.98%

55.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.71%

76.29%

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.27%

34.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.54%

71.46%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77%

24.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42%

58.58%

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 28.12%

Oxford United 45.25%

Draw 26.62%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 8.9% 2-1 @ 6.67% 2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.16% Total : 28.12%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 8.94% 0-2 @ 8.46% 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.25%

League One

Shrewsbury2 - 3Oxford Utd

Data Analysis

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