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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 47.34% | 28.07% | 24.59% |
| Both teams to score 42.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.96% | 62.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.23% | 81.76% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% | 26.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% | 61.52% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.34% | 41.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.87% | 78.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 14.64% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 8.55% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.89% Total : 47.34% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.18% Total : 24.59% |