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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Oxford United |
| 51.29% | 26.23% | 22.49% |
| Both teams to score 45.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.57% | 57.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.76% | 78.24% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% | 22.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.95% | 56.05% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.96% | 41.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.41% | 77.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% 2-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 5.11% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.8% Total : 51.28% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 9.23% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.21% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.49% |