League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
2 - 3
Oxford Utd

Harrison (39' pen.), Hayes (53')
Harrison (52')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Holland (2'), Brannagan (7'), Bodin (16')
Brannagan (71'), Stevens (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Morecambe	46	-31	42
20	Fleetwood Town	46	-20	40
21	Gillingham	46	-34	40

Oxford United

Last Six:

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Plymouth Argyle	46	20	80
8	Oxford United	46	23	76
9	Bolton Wanderers	46	17	73

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Oxford United
24.52%	23.52%	51.96%

Both teams to score 56.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12%

44.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76%

67.24%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77%

32.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28%

68.72%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.71%

17.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.37%

47.63%

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 24.52%

Oxford United 51.96%

Draw 23.52%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 6.31% 2-1 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.58% Total : 24.52%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 5.69% 0-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.5% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.96%