League One Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gregory Leigh 52' goal
  • yellowcard Elliott Bonds 9'
  • goal Liam Sercombe 44'
  • goal Callum Wright 46'
  • goal Alfie May 80'

Morecambe vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2022 8.00pm
Bolton 1 - 1 Morecambe
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons 3 - 1 Cheltenham
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Alfie May

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Morecambe 45.79%
Draw 25.08%
Cheltenham Town 29.14%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.92%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.78%
Under 2.5 48.23%
Over 3.5 29.63%
Under 3.5 70.38%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 78.91%
Under 0.5 21.09%
Over 1.5 46.09%
Under 1.5 53.92%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.59%
Under 0.5 30.41%
Over 1.5 33.39%
Under 1.5 66.61%

Score analysis

Morecambe 45.79%
Draw 25.07%
Cheltenham Town 29.14%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 7.77%
3-1 @ 4.8%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 45.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.41%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.07%
Cheltenham Town
0-1 @ 7.64%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 29.14%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Liam Sercombe 26' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 65' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 68' goal
  • goal Adam Phillips 38'
  • yellowcard Anthony O'Connor 52'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gnahoua 74'
League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Globe Arena
  • Liam McAlinden 20' goal
League Two Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Alfie May 28' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Davis 40'
  • goal Adam Phillips 78'
  • goal Carlos Mendes Gomes 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Conor Thomas 32' goal
  • Alfie May 35' goal
  • Charlie Raglan 44' yellowcard
  • Luke Varney 64' yellowcard
  • Ryan Broom 92' yellowcard
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 96' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Kenyon 71'
  • goal AJ Leitch-Smith 84'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wildig 87'
  • yellowcard Cole Stockton 98'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Barry Roche 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Long 58'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2019 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Globe Arena (Morecambe, Lancashire)
  • Vadaine Oliver 49' goal
  • Kevin Ellison 53' goal
  • Sam Lavelle 81' goal
  • Aaron Collins 85' goal
  • yellowcard Conor Thomas 75'
  • yellowcard Rakish Bingham 80'