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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Sunderland |
| 49.91% | 25.14% | 24.95% |
| Both teams to score 51.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% | 51.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% | 73.13% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% | 20.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% | 35.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 49.9% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 1% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.56% 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.01% Total : 24.95% |