Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 42.31%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.