Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 83.13%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 5.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.15%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.47%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.