League One

League One | Gameweek 46

Apr 30, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Lincoln
2 - 1
Crewe

Hopper (79'), Adelakun (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Long (21')

Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Burton Albion	46	-16	53
17	Lincoln City	46	-8	52
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38
23	AFC Wimbledon	46	-26	37
24	Crewe Alexandra	46	-46	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
60.02%	21.72%	18.25%

Both teams to score 52.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.2%

44.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.84%

67.16%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49%

14.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.48%

42.52%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.74%

38.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.98%

75.02%

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 60.02%

Crewe Alexandra 18.25%

Draw 21.72%

Lincoln City	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.71% 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 6.4% 4-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.69% Total : 60.02%	1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 5.55% 2-2 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.72%	0-1 @ 5.33% 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.56% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.25%