Lincoln

2 - 1

Crewe

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.