League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK

Crown Ground

Accrington
2 - 1
Lincoln

Jackson (34' og.), Bishop (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fiorini (90+3')
Whittaker (85'), Marquis (90'), Fiorini (90+7')

Coverage of the League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

Last Six:

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-4 Accrington
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Ipswich Town	46	21	70
12	Accrington Stanley	46	-19	61
13	Charlton Athletic	46	-4	59

Lincoln City

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Burton Albion	46	-16	53
17	Lincoln City	46	-8	52
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Lincoln City
39.31%	24.5%	36.19%

Both teams to score 59.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.62%

43.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.22%

65.77%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95%

22.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61%

55.39%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34%

23.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24%

57.76%

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 39.31%

Lincoln City 36.19%

Draw 24.49%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Lincoln City
2-1 @ 8.59% 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.31%	1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.49%	1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.11% Total : 36.19%