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League One | Gameweek 40
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
Gillingham

Accrington
1 - 2
Gillingham

Bishop (90+1' pen.)
Adedoyin (62'), Sykes (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kelman (64'), Oliver (73')
Thompson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Gillingham

Given the contrasting home and away records of the respective teams, there should only be one winner on Saturday. However, with the stakes and desire far higher in the visitors dressing room, we are predicting an hard-earned share of the spoils for Gillingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawGillingham
54.74%24.06%21.2%
Both teams to score 50.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.4%50.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49%72.51%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5%49.5%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54%38.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79%75.21%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 54.74%
    Gillingham 21.2%
    Draw 24.06%
Accrington StanleyDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.75%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.23%
1-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.2%

How you voted: Accrington vs Gillingham

Accrington Stanley
47.6%
Draw
26.2%
Gillingham
26.2%
42
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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