League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

Crown Ground

Accrington
1 - 2
Gillingham

Bishop (90+1' pen.)
Adedoyin (62'), Sykes (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelman (64'), Oliver (73')
Thompson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

Last Six:

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-4 Accrington
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Ipswich Town	46	21	70
12	Accrington Stanley	46	-19	61
13	Charlton Athletic	46	-4	59

Gillingham

Last Six:

Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Fleetwood Town	46	-20	40
21	Gillingham	46	-34	40
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Gillingham
54.74%	24.06%	21.2%

Both teams to score 50.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.4%

50.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.49%

72.51%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63%

18.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.5%

49.5%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.54%

38.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.79%

75.21%

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 54.74%

Gillingham 21.2%

Draw 24.06%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 11.97% 2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.74%	1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.75% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 3.23% 1-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.2%