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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 41.04% | 28.17% | 30.78% |
| Both teams to score 46.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.39% | 59.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% | 79.94% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% | 28.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% | 64.32% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% | 35.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.11% | 71.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 8.25% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.12% Total : 30.77% |