League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

Reebok Stadium

Bolton
3 - 1
Accrington

Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Oxford United	46	23	76
9	Bolton Wanderers	46	17	73
10	Portsmouth	46	17	73

Accrington Stanley

Last Six:

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-4 Accrington
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Ipswich Town	46	21	70
12	Accrington Stanley	46	-19	61
13	Charlton Athletic	46	-4	59

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 16.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
61.48%	21.57%	16.95%

Both teams to score 50.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.73%

46.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.44%

68.56%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.47%

14.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.44%

42.56%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.33%

40.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.74%

77.26%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 61.47%

Accrington Stanley 16.95%

Draw 21.57%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.39% 2-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 6.36% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.47%	1-1 @ 10.25% 0-0 @ 5.91% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.57%	0-1 @ 5.32% 1-2 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 2.39% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.95%