Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.32%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.