League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK

Lincoln
3 - 0
Cheltenham

Whittaker (4', 19'), Scully (17')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ramsey (8'), Freestone (57'), May (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Burton Albion	46	-16	53
17	Lincoln City	46	-8	52
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Cambridge 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Cambridge United	46	-18	58
15	Cheltenham Town	46	-14	56
16	Burton Albion	46	-16	53

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Cheltenham Town
44.62%	24.41%	30.96%

Both teams to score 58.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.6%

44.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.23%

66.77%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.97%

20.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.76%

52.24%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76%

27.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33%

62.67%

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 44.62%

Cheltenham Town 30.96%

Draw 24.4%

Lincoln City	Draw	Cheltenham Town
2-1 @ 9.17% 1-0 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.95% Total : 44.62%	1-1 @ 11.4% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.4%	1-2 @ 7.42% 0-1 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.99% Total : 30.96%