League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Whaddon Road
Cheltenham3 - 1AFC Wimbledon
Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and AFC Wimbledon.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cambridge United | 46 | -18 | 58 |
| 15 | Cheltenham Town | 46 | -14 | 56 |
| 16 | Burton Albion | 46 | -16 | 53 |
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-4 Accrington
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | -45 | 38 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -26 | 37 |
| 24 | Crewe Alexandra | 46 | -46 | 29 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 61.58% | 22.07% | 16.35% |
| Both teams to score 47.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
