League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Mar 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Whaddon Road

Cheltenham
3 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Wright (81'), Lloyd (83'), May (90+2')
Raglan (17'), Williams (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rudoni (26')
Hartigan (86')

Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Cambridge 2-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Cambridge United	46	-18	58
15	Cheltenham Town	46	-14	56
16	Burton Albion	46	-16	53

AFC Wimbledon

Last Six:

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-4 Accrington
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38
23	AFC Wimbledon	46	-26	37
24	Crewe Alexandra	46	-46	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
61.58%	22.07%	16.35%

Both teams to score 47.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65%

49.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6%

71.4%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.48%

15.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.56%

44.44%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.73%

43.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.48%

79.52%

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 61.57%

AFC Wimbledon 16.35%

Draw 22.07%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.51% 2-0 @ 11.65% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.13% Total : 61.57%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.07%	0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.36% 1-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.35%