League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Lincoln

Mebude (60'), Brown (66'), Robinson (78'), Hartigan (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fiorini (38'), Bishop (84')
Fiorini (69'), Maguire (72'), Eyoma (80')
Norton-Cuffy (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

Last Six:

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-4 Accrington
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Doncaster Rovers	46	-45	38
23	AFC Wimbledon	46	-26	37
24	Crewe Alexandra	46	-46	29

Lincoln City

Last Six:

Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Burton Albion	46	-16	53
17	Lincoln City	46	-8	52
18	Shrewsbury Town	46	-4	50

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Lincoln City
37.47%	26.76%	35.76%

Both teams to score 51.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.59%

53.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.05%

74.95%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39%

27.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86%

63.15%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.37%

28.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57%

64.43%

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 37.47%

Lincoln City 35.76%

Draw 26.76%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.47%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.76%