Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.