Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 60.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.