Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.