League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Globe Arena
  • Kelvin Mellor 23' redcard
  • Freddie Price 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 40'
  • goal Ben Jackson 45'+3'

Morecambe vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2021 7.00pm
Grimsby Town 0 - 3 Morecambe
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Carlos Mendes Gomes

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2021 7.00pm
Bolton 1 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Eoin Doyle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result

Morecambe 35.47%
Draw 26.28%
Bolton Wanderers 38.24%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.54%
Under 2.5 51.45%
Over 3.5 26.74%
Under 3.5 73.26%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 72.14%
Under 0.5 27.85%
Over 1.5 36.54%
Under 1.5 63.45%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 73.74%
Under 0.5 26.25%
Over 1.5 38.63%
Under 1.5 61.36%

Score analysis

Morecambe 35.47%
Draw 26.28%
Bolton Wanderers 38.24%
Morecambe
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 35.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.28%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 9.78%
1-2 @ 8.36%
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 38.24%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Eoin Doyle 43' goal
  • Marcus Maddison 73' redcard
  • Jordan Williams 80' yellowcard
  • goal Bradley Lyons 83'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 17, 2015 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Aaron Wildig 41' goal
  • Paul Mullin 49' goal
  • goal Stephen Dobbie 32'