League Two

League Two | Gameweek 44

Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK

Globe Arena

Morecambe
0 - 1
Bolton

Price (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jackson (45+3')
Afolayan (40')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Bolton Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
35.47%	26.28%	38.24%

Both teams to score 53.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.54%

51.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74%

73.26%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14%

27.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54%

63.45%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74%

26.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.63%

61.36%

Score Analysis

Morecambe 35.47%

Bolton Wanderers 38.24%

Draw 26.28%

Morecambe	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.47%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-2 @ 6.54% 1-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.24%