Home > Football > League One
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Derby County | 3 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Bolton Wanderers | 3 | 3 | 5 |
9 | Portsmouth | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Oxford United | 3 | -1 | 3 |
21 | Morecambe | 3 | -3 | 2 |
22 | Burton Albion | 3 | -7 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Morecambe |
63.23% ( -0.14) | 20.61% ( 0.07) | 16.16% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 52.17% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.54% ( -0.19) | 43.46% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.14% ( -0.18) | 65.86% ( 0.18) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.9% ( -0.1) | 13.1% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.26% ( -0.2) | 39.74% ( 0.2) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.03% ( -0.03) | 39.97% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.38% ( -0.03) | 76.62% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 63.23% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.61% | 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 45 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 94 |
2 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 37 | 39 | 89 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 83 | 48 | 35 | 86 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 86 | 58 | 28 | 83 |
5 | Barnsley | 45 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 81 | 63 | 18 | 75 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 20 | 14 | 11 | 65 | 38 | 27 | 74 |
7 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 55 | 22 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 68 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 62 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 17 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 61 |
13 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 19 | 10 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 59 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 45 | 17 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 59 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 65 | 68 | -3 | 50 |
18 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 45 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 48 |
19 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 47 |
20 | Burton Albion | 45 | 12 | 10 | 23 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 46 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 72 | -26 | 40 |
R | Port Vale | 45 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 40 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 45 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |