League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 0
Morecambe

Bradley (39')
Bradley (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Melbourne (23')

Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

Last Six:

Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Derby County	3	1	6
8	Bolton Wanderers	3	3	5
9	Portsmouth	3	2	5

Morecambe

Last Six:

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Oxford United	3	-1	3
21	Morecambe	3	-3	2
22	Burton Albion	3	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Morecambe
63.23% ( -0.14)	20.61% ( 0.07)	16.16% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 52.17% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.54% (

-0.19)

43.46% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.14% (

-0.18)

65.86% (

0.18)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9% (

-0.1)

13.1% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.26% (

-0.2)

39.74% (

0.2)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.03% (

-0.03)

39.97% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.38% (

-0.03)

76.62% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 63.23%

Morecambe 16.16%

Draw 20.61%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Morecambe
2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 63.23%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.61%	0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.16%