League One Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Conor Bradley 39' goal
  • Conor Bradley 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Melbourne 23'

Bolton Wanderers vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
Port Vale 0 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 1 Fleetwood
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 63.23% (-0.14)
Draw 20.61% (+0.07)
Morecambe 16.16% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.17% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.54% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 43.46% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 34.14% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 65.86% (+0.19)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 86.9% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 13.1% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 60.26% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 39.74% (+0.20)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 60.03% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 39.97% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 23.38% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 76.62% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 63.23%
Draw 20.61%
Morecambe 16.16%
Bolton Wanderers
2-0 @ 10.81% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 10.64% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.33% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.72% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 63.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.24% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 20.61%
Morecambe
0-1 @ 4.8% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.48% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.16%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 24
Mar 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Gibson 35'
  • goal Cole Stockton 41'
  • yellowcard Dylan Connolly 73'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bedeau 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Cole Stockton 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cole Stockton 73' goal
  • Adam Smith 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Johnston 45'
  • redcard Ricardo Santos 69'
  • goal Amadou Bakayoko 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Globe Arena
  • Kelvin Mellor 23' redcard
  • Freddie Price 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 40'
  • goal Ben Jackson 45'+3'
League Two Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Eoin Doyle 43' goal
  • Marcus Maddison 73' redcard
  • Jordan Williams 80' yellowcard
  • goal Bradley Lyons 83'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 17, 2015 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Aaron Wildig 41' goal
  • Paul Mullin 49' goal
  • goal Stephen Dobbie 32'