EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
0 - 0
Stoke

Weir (61'), Gibson (73'), Fane (83')

Morecambe win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Morecambe and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

Last Six:

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	Shrewsbury Town	2	-1	1
21	Morecambe	2	-3	1
22	Cheltenham Town	2	-2	0

Stoke City

Last Six:

Last Game: Stoke 2-0 Blackpool
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Reading	2	0	3
12	Stoke City	2	0	3
13	Blackpool	2	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Stoke City
34.82% ( -0.17)	26.47% ( 0.06)	38.71% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 52.53% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.73% (

-0.27)

52.27% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03% (

-0.23)

73.97% (

0.23)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.35% (

-0.23)

28.65% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.54% (

-0.3)

64.46% (

0.3)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

-0.06)

26.37% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.48% (

-0.09)

61.52% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 34.82%

Stoke City 38.71%

Draw 26.46%

Morecambe	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.82%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.71%