Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.